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| #1153422 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 18.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 2100 UTC MON SEP 18 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 52.2W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......140NE 120SE 80SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 52.2W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 51.8W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.2N 53.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 31.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.4N 54.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.2N 53.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.1N 50.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.1N 43.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 160SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 48.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 56.0N 18.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 52.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER B REINHART/A REINHART |
