|
Show Selection: |
| #1153486 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 AM 19.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 53.6W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 80SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 53.6W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 53.3W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 31.2N 54.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.8N 54.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.7N 53.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.6N 49.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.5N 42.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 80SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 170SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 45.0N 34.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 20NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 170SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 51.8N 21.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 58.5N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N 53.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
