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#1153489 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 19.Sep.2023) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Nigel Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152023 500 AM AST Tue Sep 19 2023 ...NIGEL FORECAST TO INTENSIFY TODAY WITH A LARGE EYE OVER THE SUBTROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.6N 53.6W ABOUT 690 MI...1110 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Nigel was located near latitude 29.6 North, longitude 53.6 West. Nigel is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). The hurricane is forecast to turn northward late today, and then accelerate rapidly northeastward through the rest of the week. Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Nigel is forecast to strengthen some through early Wednesday, with weakening likely on Thursday and Friday. Nigel is forecast to become a strong post-tropical cyclone on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Nigel are expected to reach Bermuda later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake |