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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
 
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#1153489 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 19.Sep.2023)
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Nigel Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152023
500 AM AST Tue Sep 19 2023

...NIGEL FORECAST TO INTENSIFY TODAY WITH A LARGE EYE OVER THE
SUBTROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 53.6W
ABOUT 690 MI...1110 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Nigel was located
near latitude 29.6 North, longitude 53.6 West. Nigel is moving
toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). The hurricane is
forecast to turn northward late today, and then accelerate
rapidly northeastward through the rest of the week.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Nigel is forecast to strengthen some through early
Wednesday, with weakening likely on Thursday and Friday. Nigel is
forecast to become a strong post-tropical cyclone on Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Nigel are expected to reach Bermuda
later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake