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| #1153520 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 19.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 54.3W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 80SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 54.3W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 53.9W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.3N 54.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.0N 54.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.0N 51.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.0N 46.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 160SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 43.8N 39.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 80SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 170SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 46.5N 31.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 20NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 170SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 54.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 59.0N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 54.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
