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| #1153584 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 19.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 0300 UTC WED SEP 20 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 54.7W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 240SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 54.7W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 54.8W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.3N 54.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.4N 51.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.6N 46.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 140SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 44.4N 39.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 47.5N 31.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 210SE 170SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 50.8N 25.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 210SE 170SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 57.1N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 58.9N 21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N 54.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI |
