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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
 
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#1153614 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 AM 20.Sep.2023)
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Nigel Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152023
500 AM AST Wed Sep 20 2023

...NIGEL HOLDING STEADY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.4N 54.9W
ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nigel was located
near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 54.9 West. Nigel is moving
toward the north near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the northeast
with an increase in forward speed is expected later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Nigel has likely reached its peak intensity, with gradual
weakening expected later today, followed by faster rate of weakening
on Friday. Nigel is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone by
Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Nigel will affect Bermuda during the next
couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly