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| #1153645 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 20.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 1500 UTC WED SEP 20 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 54.4W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 270SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 54.4W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 54.6W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.4N 51.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 130SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.6N 46.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 160SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 44.6N 39.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 200SE 160SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 47.6N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 220SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 51.3N 24.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 200SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 55.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 150SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 57.0N 24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 58.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 54.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
