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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
 
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#1153648 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 20.Sep.2023)
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Nigel Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152023
1100 AM AST Wed Sep 20 2023

...NIGEL HEADED NORTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.1N 54.4W
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nigel was located
near latitude 36.1 North, longitude 54.4 West. Nigel is moving
toward the north near 18 mph (30 km/h). A turn toward the northeast
with an increase in forward speed is expected later today, followed
by a faster northeastward motion over the next day or two.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days,
and Nigel is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone by
Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Nigel will affect Bermuda during the next
couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch