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| #1153723 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 20.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 50.4W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 320SE 300SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 50.4W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 51.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.2N 46.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 44.2N 39.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 170SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 47.3N 31.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 220SE 170SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 50.9N 25.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 54.9N 22.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 200SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 56.6N 22.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 150SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 58.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI |
