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| #1153761 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 21.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 0900 UTC THU SEP 21 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 47.8W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 26 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 330SE 330SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 47.8W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 49.2W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.9N 42.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 160SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 45.9N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 160SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 49.5N 27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 210SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 53.1N 23.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 56.8N 23.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 160SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 58.3N 24.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.6N 47.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY |
