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#1154799 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 27.Sep.2023) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Philippe Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172023 500 PM AST Wed Sep 27 2023 ...PHILIPPE MOVING SLOWER... ...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS, VIRGIN ISLANDS, AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 54.0W ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 54.0 West. Philippe is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and west-northwestward motion is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two, with slow weakening forecast this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Philippe is forecast to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and northern and eastern Puerto Rico Saturday through Monday. Elsewhere across Puerto Rico, 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected. Heavy rainfall from Philippe may produce isolated urban and small stream flooding impacts. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Kelly |