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#1155027 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 AM 29.Sep.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182023
0900 UTC FRI SEP 29 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 46.6W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 46.6W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 46.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N 47.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.8N 48.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.4N 49.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.1N 51.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.0N 52.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.3N 54.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 28.1N 55.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 46.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI