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| #1155819 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 03.Oct.2023) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Philippe Advisory Number 43 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172023 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 03 2023 ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 65.5W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM NNW OF ST. THOMAS ABOUT 845 MI...1355 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Philippe. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 65.5 West. Philippe is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast on Wednesday, followed by a faster motion toward the north on Thursday and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Philippe will continue to move away from the Virgin Islands. Philippe will then approach Bermuda Thursday night and Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Philippe can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml RAINFALL: Philippe is forecast to produce the following rainfall amounts through Wednesday: The United States & British Virgin Islands: 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts to 12 inches. Puerto Rico: 2 to 4 inches This rainfall would result in scattered flash flooding. WIND: Gusty winds are likely to continue across portions of the the Virgin Islands through early Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by Philippe will affect portions of the Atlantic coasts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico for another couple of days. Swells are expected to reach Bermuda by late Thursday. These conditions are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |
