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| #11562 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 08.Oct.2004) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT FRI OCT 08 2004 ...THIRTEENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. MATTHEW IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 10 MPH. A TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. STRONG WINDS NEAR THE LOUISIANA COAST ARE NOT DIRECTLY RELATED TO MATTHEW...BUT ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN MATTHEW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. COASTAL FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN SOME AREAS WITH ONSHORE FLOW. A LARGE AREA OF RAINFALL EXTENDS FROM MATTHEW NORTHEASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...24.2 N... 93.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
