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| #11563 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 08.Oct.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142004 2100Z FRI OCT 08 2004 INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 93.8W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 93.8W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 94.2W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.6N 92.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.3N 91.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 26.3N 89.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.0N 87.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 32.0N 86.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 93.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
