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| #1156798 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 11.Oct.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192023 0900 UTC WED OCT 11 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 33.1W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 33.1W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 32.6W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 10.7N 34.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 11.2N 36.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 11.8N 38.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.6N 39.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.5N 40.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.5N 42.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 16.7N 44.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 47.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 33.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
