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#1156980 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 12.Oct.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192023 0900 UTC THU OCT 12 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 36.7W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 36.7W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 36.4W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 13.0N 38.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.8N 39.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.8N 41.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 42.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.3N 43.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.2N 45.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 36.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART |