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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 290 (Idalia) , Major: 290 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 290 (Idalia) Major: 290 (Idalia)
 
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#1157483 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 15.Oct.2023)
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Sean Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192023
1100 AM AST Sun Oct 15 2023

...SEAN FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 47.1W
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sean
was located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 47.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h)
, and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight.
A turn toward the west is expected on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have weakened to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts based on recent satellite derived wind data.
Additional weakening is forecast, and Sean is forecast to become a
remnant low later today or tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly