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| #11586 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 08.Oct.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142004 0300Z SAT OCT 09 2004 TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF COAST EARLY SATURDAY. INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 93.4W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 93.4W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 93.8W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 92.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.5N 90.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.8N 89.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.5N 87.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 33.6N 86.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 93.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |
