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| #1158626 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 23.Oct.2023) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-One Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212023 1100 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2023 ...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... ...HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.4N 83.4W ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NE OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the coast of Nicaragua should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-One was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 83.4 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. On the forecast track, the depression will move inland over the next few hours over eastern Nicaragua. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast. The depression is forecast to dissipate inland over Nicaragua tomorrow. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Twenty-One can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC. RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches across Nicaragua and 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches across southern and eastern Honduras. These rains are likely to produce flash and urban flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky |
