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| #11604 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:25 AM 09.Oct.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142004 0900Z SAT OCT 09 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 92.9W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 92.9W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 93.2W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.4N 92.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 28.1N 90.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.6N 89.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.5N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 35.5N 88.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 92.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
