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#11819 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:51 PM 10.Oct.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT SUN OCT 10 2004 ...NICOLE PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA... A GALE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA. NICOLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. HOWEVER ...A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH EAST OF THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 56 MPH...91 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON BERMUDA DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER ...WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ACROSS THE ISLAND LATER TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY AS NICOLE MOVES FARTHER AWAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES... BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM BERMUDA. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...32.8 N... 65.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |