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| #11830 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:25 PM 10.Oct.2004) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152004 0300Z MON OCT 11 2004 A GALE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. THE WARNING AND THE WATCH MAY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 65.0W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 65.0W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 65.6W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 36.4N 63.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 40.3N 63.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 42.3N 63.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 175SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 42.3N 65.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...225NE 175SE 200SW 225NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 65.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART |
