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#11834 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:01 PM 10.Oct.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 4...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SUN OCT 10 2004 CORRECTED TROPICAL NICOLE TO READ SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE ...WINDS DECREASING ACROSS BERMUDA AS NICOLE PASSES TO THE NORTH... A GALE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. THE WARNING AND THE WATCH MAY BE DISCONTINUED BY EARLY MONDAY. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA. NICOLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTH EXPECTED BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM....MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 45 MPH WAS REPORTED ON BERMUDA DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY AS NICOLE MOVES FARTHER WAY FROM THE ISLAND. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES... BASED ON SURFACE REPORTS FROM BERMUDA. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...33.1 N... 65.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |