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| #11839 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:07 AM 11.Oct.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2004 ...NICOLE MOVING AWAY FROM BERMUDA... A GALE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. THE WARNING AND THE WATCH MAY BE DISCONTINUED BY EARLY MONDAY. AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.4 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... 160 KM...NORTH OF BERMUDA. NICOLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...27 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM....MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. WINDS ON BERMUDA SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS NICOLE MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE ISLAND. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES... BASED ON SURFACE REPORTS FROM BERMUDA AND A RECENT SHIP REPORT. REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...33.8 N... 64.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
