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| #1184903 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:48 AM 18.Jun.2024) TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012024 0300 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 93.0W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 93.0W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 93.0W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.6N 92.8W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.6N 93.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.2N 95.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...250NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.5N 96.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...250NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.7N 98.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.8N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 93.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
