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Nothing in the Atlantic currently for the next week or two.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Beryl) , Major: 320 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 320 (Idalia) Major: 320 (Idalia)
 
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#1186572 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:48 AM 29.Jun.2024)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
500 AM AST Sat Jun 29 2024

...BERYL STRENGTHENING...
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR BARBADOS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.8N 45.5W
ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Barbados has issued a Hurricane Watch
for Barbados.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Barbados

Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor
the progress of Beryl. Additional watches and warnings will likely
be required for portions of this area later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was
located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 45.5 West. Beryl is
moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h). A relatively quick
westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next
few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move
across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional steady to rapid strengthening is
expected during the next couple of days, and Beryl is expected to
become a hurricane tonight or Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Beryl can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area
by Sunday night or Monday morning, with tropical storm conditions
possible by Sunday.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands.
This rainfall may produce localized flooding in vulnerable areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

SURF: Swells generated by the system are expected to reach the
Windward and southern Leeward Islands by late Sunday. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven