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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
19.5N 84.3W
Wind: 110MPH
Pres: 974mb
Moving:
Wnw at 20 mph
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#1186891 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:12 AM 01.Jul.2024)
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chris Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
400 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

...TROPICAL STORM CHRIS BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 97.2W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next few hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chris was
located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 97.2 West. Chris is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general
motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast
track, the center of Chris will continue farther inland over
eastern Mexico through today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected as Chris moves farther inland, and the system
will likely dissipate over the higher terrain later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Chris can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chris are expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico through
this morning. Maximum rainfall totals around 12 inches are possible
across the higher terrain of the Mexican states of Guanajuato,
Queretaro, and San Luis Potosi. This rainfall will result in areas
of flooding, with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Chris, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
during the next few hours.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Bucci