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| #1188323 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 09.Jul.2024) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number 44 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024 1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024 ...BERYL BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...FLASH FLOODING AND A RISK OF TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM MID MISSISSIPPI TO LOWER OHIO VALLEY TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.8N 91.2W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM WSW OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SW OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of... * Northern Arkansas * Central and Southern Missouri * Illinois * Far Western Kentucky * Northern Indiana * Southern Michigan DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl was located near latitude 35.8 North, longitude 91.2 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this motion is expected to slowly decrease in forward speed as the system moves into Canada. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible today into tonight across the lower Ohio Valley, including parts of Kentucky, southeast Missouri, northwest Tennessee, southern Illinois, southern Indiana, and Ohio. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected across portions of the Lower Missouri and Mid Mississippi Valleys into the Great Lakes today into Wednesday and over northern New York and northern New England Wednesday into Wednesday night. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to gradually decrease during the next day or so. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Taylor/Roth |
