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| #1188420 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 AM 10.Jul.2024) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number 47 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024 400 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024 ...RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND A FEW TORNADOES CONTINUES ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE PATH OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL TODAY... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.9N 85.2W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM NE OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM SW OF DETROIT MICHIGAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of... * Illinois * Northern Indiana * Southern Michigan * Central and Northern New York * Vermont * New Hampshire * Maine For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl was located near latitude 40.9 North, longitude 85.2 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today, mainly over western and central New York. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected across portions of the southern Great Lakes into central and northern New York and northern New England today into tonight. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Post Tropical Cyclone Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Chenard/Dolan |
