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| #1188496 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 10.Jul.2024) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number 49 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024 500 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024 ...RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND A FEW TORNADOES FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES INTO THE OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.2N 81.8W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM WSW OF BUFFALO NEW YORK ABOUT 460 MI...745 KM WSW OF MONTREAL QUEBEC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of... * Central and Northern New York * Northern New England A Tornado Watch is in effect for portions of... * Northern Mid-Atlantic * New England For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl was located near latitude 42.2 North, longitude 81.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue into early Thursday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Heavy rainfall will result in areas of flash flooding, some of which may be locally considerable, through tonight for central and northern New York and northern New England. Isolated minor river flooding is possible. Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through tonight across upstate New York, northern Pennsylvania, into parts of New England. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected across portions of the eastern Great Lakes through northern New England through tonight. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Post Tropical Cyclone Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Jackson |
