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| #1191629 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 PM 02.Aug.2024) TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024 2100 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 78.3W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 78.3W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 77.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 22.4N 80.1W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.2N 82.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.1N 83.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.1N 83.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.7N 82.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.9N 81.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 32.6N 80.0W...NEAT COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 34.5N 77.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 78.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 03/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
