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#1192149 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 05.Aug.2024) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024 0900 UTC MON AUG 05 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 83.7W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 70SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 83.7W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 83.7W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.5N 83.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.3N 82.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 31.8N 81.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.9N 80.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 40SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 32.1N 79.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.3N 79.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 33.5N 79.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 20NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 35.6N 78.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 83.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 05/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |