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#1192320 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 05.Aug.2024) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024 0300 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 82.1W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 82.1W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 82.4W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 31.6N 81.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 31.8N 80.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.9N 79.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.4N 79.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.0N 79.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.8N 79.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 36.3N 78.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 40.2N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 82.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 06/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |