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New NHC Advisory with Milton at 180 MPH 905mb. Recon heading back in and could get even stronger still. Tampa may get 10-15' of surge on current forecast track. #FLwx #HurricaneMilton
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 11 (Helene) , Major: 11 (Helene) Florida - Any: 11 (Helene) Major: 11 (Helene)
41.7N 38.4W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 963mb
Moving:
Ne at 29 mph
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18.4N 43.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 988mb
Moving:
Nw at 14 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
21.8N 89.9W
Wind: 165MPH
Pres: 914mb
Moving:
E at 9 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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#1192751 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:45 AM 08.Aug.2024)
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 23A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 08 2024

...DEBBY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR BULLS BAY SOUTH CAROLINA...
...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND
WESTERN VIRGINIA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.0N 79.6W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Edisto Beach, South Carolina to Surf City, North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Surf City, North Carolina to Beaufort Inlet, North
Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
Surface observations, satellite images, and radar data indicate
that Debby has made landfall near Bulls Bay, South Carolina. At
200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Debby was
located on the coast near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 79.6 West.
Debby is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue through this morning. A
faster motion toward the north and north-northeast across the
Carolinas and the U.S. Mid-Atlantic states is expected later today
and on Friday.

Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data indicate that
maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast today as the
center moves farther inland. Debby is expected to merge with a
frontal boundary over the U.S. Mid-Atlantic states on Friday or
Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
mainly to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations
is 995 mb (29.38 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the
coast of South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area
through today. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the
tropical storm warning area and possible within the tropical storm
watch area in North Carolina through today.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

South Santee River to Ocracoke Inlet including the Neuse and
Pamlico Rivers...1 to 3 ft

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce an additional 3 to 9 inches
of rainfall with locally higher amounts, leading to maximum storm
total amounts as high as 25 inches in eastern South Carolina and 15
inches in southeast North Carolina with considerable flooding
expected across portions of eastern South Carolina and southeast
North Carolina through Friday.

An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall with locally higher amounts
is possible across southeast Georgia through today, bringing
overall storm total amounts as high as 15 inches, which may
aggravate any ongoing flooding conditions.

From the Piedmont of South Carolina northward across portions of
Virginia, 3 to 7 inches with local amounts to 10 inches, are
expected through Friday. This rainfall will likely result in areas
of considerable flash and urban flooding, with river flooding
possible.

From Maryland north through Upstate New York and Vermont, 2 to 4
inches, with local amounts to 6 inches, are expected through
Saturday morning. This will likely produce considerable flash and
urban flooding as well as river flooding.

For Long Island and the remainder of New England, 1 to 2 inches,
with local amounts to 4 inches, are expected into Saturday.
Scattered instances of flash flooding are possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Debby, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.

For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the
WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur over parts of eastern North
Carolina early this morning. The risk of tornadoes will shift
northward on Thursday into central North Carolina and central
Virginia.

SURF: Large swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S.
coast through the end of the week. These conditions are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg