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| #1193357 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 11.Aug.2024) TCMAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 2100 UTC SUN AUG 11 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 48.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 48.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 47.0W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.3N 51.2W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.2N 55.5W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.9N 59.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.0N 62.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.3N 64.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.8N 66.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 23.9N 67.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 130NW. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 27.7N 66.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 130NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 48.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 12/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN/CANGIALOSI |
