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| #1193393 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 11.Aug.2024) TCMAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 0300 UTC MON AUG 12 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 50.1W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 50.1W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 49.2W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.8N 53.9W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.6N 58.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.2N 61.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.4N 63.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.7N 65.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.3N 66.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 24.5N 67.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 130NW. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 28.5N 65.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 130NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 50.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 12/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
