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| #1193518 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 12.Aug.2024) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 2100 UTC MON AUG 12 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 57.5W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 24 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 57.5W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 56.6W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.2N 60.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.9N 63.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 65.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.9N 67.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.9N 67.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 29.4N 66.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 140SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 32.5N 64.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 120SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 57.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 13/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
