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#1194319 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 17.Aug.2024) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 0300 UTC SUN AUG 18 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 63.3W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 63.3W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 63.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 35.3N 62.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 37.9N 61.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.3N 58.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.7N 53.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 47.7N 46.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 170SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 50.4N 36.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 190SE 170SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 63.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |