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| #1194360 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 AM 18.Aug.2024) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 0900 UTC SUN AUG 18 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 63.0W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 63.0W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 63.1W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.4N 62.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.4N 60.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 42.9N 56.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 130SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.4N 50.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 49.0N 41.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 170SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 51.0N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 190SE 170SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.6N 63.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
