|
Show Selection: |
| #1194392 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 AM 18.Aug.2024) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 1500 UTC SUN AUG 18 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 62.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 110SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 180SW 230NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 62.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 62.7W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 38.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.1N 58.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.6N 53.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 170SE 130SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 48.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 170SE 170SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 50.5N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 170SE 160SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 52.1N 23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 62.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
