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| #1194573 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 AM 19.Aug.2024) TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 0900 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 60.5W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 190SE 110SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 240SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 60.5W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 61.1W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 42.7N 57.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.3N 51.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 150SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 49.0N 41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 170SE 170SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 50.8N 30.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 170SE 170SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 53.0N 19.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 170SE 130SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N 60.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
