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| #1197297 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 PM 08.Sep.2024) TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024 2100 UTC SUN SEP 08 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 94.6W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 140SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 240SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 94.6W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 94.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.3N 95.1W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.2N 95.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.3N 96.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.5N 96.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.0N 95.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N 94.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 33.6N 91.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 37.0N 89.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 94.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
