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New Area in the Western Caribbean with a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days. Worth watching next week for those in the Eastern Gulf and Florida.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 7 (Francine) , Major: 385 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 44 (Debby) Major: 385 (Idalia)
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#1197497 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 09.Sep.2024)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024
0300 UTC TUE SEP 10 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 96.2W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 96.2W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 96.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.9N 96.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.2N 95.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.9N 93.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.9N 92.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 25SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.4N 90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.6N 90.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 36.6N 90.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 96.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 10/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/HAGEN