|
Show Selection: |
| #1198081 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 12.Sep.2024) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Advisory Number 17 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062024 400 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024 ...FRANCINE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI, ALABAMA, GEORGIA, AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.8N 89.8W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT: Flood Watches and Wind Advisories are in effect for portions of the Southeast U.S near and southeast the path of Francine. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine was located near latitude 33.8 North, longitude 89.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and Francine is expected to turn move toward the northwest and slow down. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC. RAINFALL: Francine is expected to bring storm total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches across portions of Mississippi, eastern Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. Localized amounts of 12 inches are possible over portions of Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and Georgia. This rainfall could lead to considerable flash and urban flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through this evening across the Florida Panhandle, southern and central Alabama, and southwest Georgia. WIND: Wind Advisories are in effect across portions of eastern Arkansas, western and middle Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, and northwest Georgia. A few gusts to tropical storm force are possible. SURF: Swells generated by Francine should subside along the northern Gulf coast through this evening. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Taylor/Lamers |
