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| #1198122 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 12.Sep.2024) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Advisory Number 18 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062024 1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024 ...POST-TROPICAL FRANCINE MOVED NORTHWEST TO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... ...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA, ALABAMA, WESTERN GEORGIA, AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.2N 90.9W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM W OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT: Flood Watches and Wind Advisories are in effect for portions of the Mississippi Delta, Tennessee Valley, and Southeast. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine was located near latitude 35.2 North, longitude 90.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this motion is expected to slow down before the post-tropical storm dissipates on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC. RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Storm Francine is expected to bring additional rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches with isolated totals around 8 inches across portions of central and northern Alabama, western Tennessee, and the Florida Panhandle. Elsewhere, 2 to 4 inches of additional rainfall is expected across parts of northern Mississippi, northeast Arkansas, southwest Kentucky, and western Georgia. This rainfall could lead to considerable flash and urban flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html. WIND: Wind Advisories are in effect across portions of eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee, northern Mississippi, central and northern Alabama, and northwest Georgia. A few gusts to 40 mph are possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Hurley |
