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New Area in the Western Caribbean with a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days. Worth watching next week for those in the Eastern Gulf and Florida.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 7 (Francine) , Major: 385 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 44 (Debby) Major: 385 (Idalia)
 
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#1198163 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 AM 13.Sep.2024)
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Advisory Number 19
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062024
400 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.5N 91.5W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM WNW OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT:

Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the Tennessee Valley
and Southeast.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Francine was located near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 91.5 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 3 mph (6
km/h) and this motion is expected to continue before the system
dissipates later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast before the system dissipates.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Through Sunday, additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6
inches, with isolated totals around 8 inches, are expected across
portions of central and northern Alabama. This rainfall could lead
to locally considerable flash and urban flooding. Additional
rainfall of 2 to 4 inches is expected across portions of
northeastern Mississippi, western Tennessee, western Georgia and the
Florida Panhandle.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero. For a list of
rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see
the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41
KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Chenard