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| #1198194 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 13.Sep.2024) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Advisory Number 20 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062024 1000 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.8N 91.4W ABOUT 80 MI...135 KM NNE OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...30 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 140 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT: Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the Tennessee Valley and Southeast. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine was located near latitude 35.8 North, longitude 91.4 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the southeast near 3 mph (6 km/h) and an erratic, but slow, southeast motion is expected to continue today. Maximum sustained winds are near 15 mph (30 km/h) with higher gusts. Francine is likely lose a well-defined surface circulation and dissipate sometime later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC. RAINFALL: Through Sunday, additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated totals around 8 inches, are expected across portions of central and northern Alabama. This rainfall could lead to locally considerable flash and urban flooding. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches is expected across portions of northeastern Mississippi, western Tennessee, western Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Lamers |
