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Landfall of Particularly Dangerous Hurricane Milton near Siesta Key, FL. Catastophic damage (surge, inland flooding, tor and wind) continues. #FLwx #HurricaneMilton
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 13 (Helene) , Major: 13 (Helene) Florida - Any: 13 (Helene) Major: 13 (Helene)
22.6N 49.3W
Wind: 105MPH
Pres: 972mb
Moving:
Nw at 8 mph
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28.1N 81.3W
Wind: 90MPH
Pres: 975mb
Moving:
Ene at 16 mph
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#1199762 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 23.Sep.2024)
TCMAT4

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024
0300 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 82.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 82.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 82.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.1N 83.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.2N 84.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.6N 85.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.4N 85.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.2N 84.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 30.4N 83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 140SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 37.0N 85.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 82.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 24/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH