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#1199936 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 PM 24.Sep.2024)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024
0300 UTC WED SEP 25 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 85.5W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 85.5W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 85.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.1N 86.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.7N 86.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...240NE 250SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.4N 85.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.5N 84.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 55SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.0N 84.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.5N 86.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 37.0N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 85.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 25/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH